Market Notebook

by | Jun 18, 2023

Discussion – 

Equity prices, as measured by ticker SPY, closed higher on the week, while bond prices, as measured by ticker BND, closed marginally lower, if not essentially flat.

SPY price appears established in an upward trend.

BND price appears established in range-bound consolidation as prices have moved sideways for an extended period.

Recent price action suggests equity market participants are potentially experiencing FOMO or Fear of Missing Out as prices rise quickly into the face of mediocre economic conditions.

The Federal Reserve’s pause in interest rate adjustments seems to be bleeding into bond sentiment as sideways price action signals market participant uncertainty.

Economic indicators within the Market Notebook remain mixed. Real economic activity will likely slow over the next few months as the Federal Reserve works to contain inflationary pressures.

Jobless claims are to be watched as a key indicator of a potential recession. Thus far, jobless claims are not indicative of a recession.

All the best during the week ahead!

Disclaimer: Nothing in this discussion should be considered investment advice. The content of this discussion is strictly my personal opinion and subject to change at a moment’s notice. Investment advice can only be provided to you by your investment professional and not by a general market discussion such as this one. If you wish to speak with an investment advisor, contact us. We can probably help.